Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.095697 0.112530 0.131353 0.153950 0.180329 0.210143 0.246391
2025-11-30 0.071349 0.093186 0.120166 0.155902 0.201954 0.259264 0.335986
2025-12-07 0.056500 0.079881 0.111024 0.155437 0.217056 0.299439 0.417896
2025-12-14 0.045505 0.068704 0.101584 0.151420 0.224886 0.329048 0.487825
2025-12-21 0.038432 0.061433 0.095834 0.150795 0.236170 0.363484 0.567523
2025-12-28 0.034377 0.057815 0.094587 0.156149 0.256308 0.412478 0.674064
2026-01-04 0.031250 0.055052 0.094065 0.162217 0.277866 0.465624 0.792951
2026-01-11 0.028251 0.051970 0.092458 0.166042 0.295878 0.514703 0.910549
2026-01-18 0.025195 0.048284 0.089235 0.166490 0.307900 0.554749 1.017033
2026-01-25 0.021783 0.043420 0.083232 0.161071 0.308642 0.575028 1.090656
2026-02-01 0.018690 0.038685 0.076800 0.153913 0.305099 0.586880 1.149757
2026-02-08 0.016567 0.035540 0.072931 0.151066 0.309182 0.612888 1.237799
2026-02-15 0.014359 0.032029 0.068146 0.146323 0.310069 0.635052 1.325584
2026-02-22 0.013128 0.030414 0.067010 0.148971 0.326441 0.689939 1.486562
2026-03-01 0.011794 0.028353 0.064635 0.148633 0.336488 0.733212 1.629119
2026-03-08 0.010370 0.025847 0.060922 0.144802 0.338402 0.759634 1.739064
2026-03-15 0.009364 0.024162 0.058791 0.144206 0.347357 0.802072 1.889063
2026-03-22 0.008842 0.023573 0.059104 0.149331 0.370067 0.877459 2.122299
2026-03-29 0.008403 0.023122 0.059674 0.155140 0.395129 0.961072 2.384680
2026-04-05 0.007881 0.022369 0.059396 0.158802 0.415439 1.035980 2.635497
2026-04-12 0.007247 0.021212 0.057931 0.159231 0.427726 1.093165 2.850169
2026-04-19 0.006425 0.019401 0.054506 0.154043 0.424927 1.113117 2.974524
2026-04-26 0.005632 0.017536 0.050668 0.147191 0.416815 1.118741 3.062957